1998_03_march_molonglo

The break-down of the Labor vote was as in Table Two.

The primary vote of the Labor candidates does not tell the full picture.

A likely scenario is:

Flaherty out. When he appears first on the Robson rotated ballot paper, Quinlan appears second, so Quinlan will get most of the preferences.

O’Keefe goes out next with the major preference flow to Garth on the same principle. Garth is now ahead of McMurtry who goes out next with the major preference flow to Quinlan. The Reilly goes out with the preference flow to Garth. Corbell then goes out.

However, it depends on how many voters voted one to seven down the Labor column as it was presented to them. The fewer who did so the more chance Corbell has.

With the Liberals, Aouad is out. Tolley goes next. His preferences largely go to Burke. Louttit goes next and his preferences largely go to Cornwell who gets the last Liberal seat, unless there is a significant leakage of preferences.

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