The Canberra Times Datacol polls taken over the past two weeks picked the major shift in this election.
Three weeks ago most people would have thought that Independents Dave Rugendyke and Paul Osborne were a shoe in and that the Democrats would shoot themselves in the foot again.
Datacol said that the Democrats were polling solidly and that the two conservative independents were in trouble.
Datacol also picked the shift of vote from the Liberal Party to Labor and that the Liberals were doing better in Molonglo than the other electorates.
In every election since self-government Datacol has predicted the major shifts, often against popular belief. In 1989 and 1992 that the majors were polling disastrously, in 1995 that the Liberals could win in this largely Labor town and again in 1998 and this time that the cross-bench had moved to the left.