Prime Minister, Paul Keating, and the Leader of the Opposition, John Hewson, are now committed to looking at whether a referendum should be held for a four-year term.
The theory is that a longer term would provide better economic management and enable politicians to make the tough decisions without fear of an immediate electoral backlash. They could be making long-term decisions which would bear fruit further down the track. This would be better for the nation. Great theory. But wrong.
What has been the Australian experience? All states except Queensland now have four year terms. Could anyone seriously argue that Victoria, South Australia or Western Australia were better managed under their four-year terms than Queensland under its three-year term? The contrary is demonstrably true. The Cain-Kirner and Burke-Lawrence four years were not brilliant examples of prudent economic management. The longer term only meant that voters had to put up with those Governments for one year longer than they should have. Carmel Lawrence used the extra year to do a repair job and went some distance in doing it. However, Joan Kirner did not make things any better in her state while the voters waited to throw her out. South Australia was similarly mismanaged under John Bannon and now the voters have to wait out an unnecessary extra year to get rid of Lynn Arnold’s lame-duck Government. Tasmania’s four-year term did not save it from an early election after the breakdown of the Green-Labor Accord, and its finances are still fairly sick. Queensland, the only state with a three-year term, is the only state which has had sound financial management over the past half decade. The Australian experience shows there is no case for a four-year term on economic grounds, or indeed on any other ground.
Queenslanders very sensibly rejected a referendum proposal for a four-year term in March 1991. When they look at what has happened in the other states since they can be proud of their decision.
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