POLITICAL parties frequently underestimate their likely performance at the next election. They do not like to be seen by the electorate as cocky and perhaps they like to keep their own side on their toes. Even so, the ACT branch secretary of the Labor Party, Doug Thompson, painted a fairly grim picture of Labor’s electoral prospects at the party’s annual conference at the weekend. He said that if an ACT election were held now Labor would not win. Mr Thompson pointed to the attacks on Canberra by the Howard Liberal Government, but said people did not yet see Labor locally as an alternative, even though they voted Labor in federal elections. Mr Thompson asserted that the branch was more united than ever and had completed a comprehensive review of policies, but the community felt Labor had nothing new to offer, he said, even though that was not the case.
With this background it is pertinent to ask how this state of affairs has come about. One would have thought that the treatment meted out by the Howard Government on Canberra that Labor should be waiting for government at the territory to fall into its lap.
There are several reasons why not. Obviously, the electoral system makes it difficult, if not impossible, for either side to win majority government in Canberra. Further, sitting independents and sitting minor-party candidates tend to do reasonably well at all levels of government, even if they find it difficult to get elected in the first place. Mr Thompson correctly identified these as being a significant obstacle to a Labor Government.
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