The proposed boundaries marginally favour the Liberal Party and damage Independent Dennis Stevenson.
The Liberals benefit because a Labor-voting chunk of Woden has been dragged into Brindabella (Tuggeranong) which is already saturated with Labor voters, leaving an more pro-Liberal chunk in the seven-member central electorate to ensure the Liberals get a third seat there, which they would otherwise might be struggling to get.
Stevenson looses because his prime areas last election were the Oaks Estate and Tuggeranong. The Oaks Estate gave him nearly 25 per cent last election. Under the new boundaries Oaks Estate is in the central electorate. So Stevenson will have to get a quota in Tuggeranong without it. He is probably doomed anyway, because he needs a quota of 16.6 per cent. Last election he got 7 per cent overall and up to 11 per cent in some Brindabella (Tuggeranong) booths. Even with a generous spill of preferences for the fifth seat in Brindabella it will be a hard task, and harder without the Oaks Estate.
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